Recent projections from the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) reveal anticipated changes in Medicaid spending and enrollment through 2036, reflecting the implications of the 2025 Reconciliation Law.
These projections, released in February 2026, suggest that the law will have a notable impact on future Medicaid policies and funding.
As the landscape of healthcare continues to evolve, understanding these projections is crucial for stakeholders and policymakers.
Updates
Update at 19:30 UTC on 2026-07-01
KFF reported CBO’s latest projections of Medicaid spending and enrollment from February 2026 show how enrollment and spending are expected to change over the next decade, accounting for the historic policy changes and their expected reductions in future.
Sources: KFF